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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Pierre Strong?

Close call

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Strong.

Strong's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Week 6: Strong outscored Ferguson 11.7 to 3.3. Our call, start Ferguson (63%), was wrong.

Ferguson 54% 46% Strong

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Ferguson has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Cowboys TE #27 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (PPR) 5.1
Status Active
RB Packers RB #39

Pierre Strong

@ Detroit Lions · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (PPR) 4.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 5.4 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 23rd most to TEs.
  • Strong: 8.3 PPR pts/game over his last 2, 48% of snaps, 12.0 touches, DET allows the 23rd most to RBs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 3.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 4.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 4.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 9.3 69% 3
Strong Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs DAL 11.7 55% 16
Wk 5 vs CHI 4.8 41% 8

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Strong
Median PPR pts 5.1 4.6
Rec 2.8 1.6
Rec Yds 22.3 12.6
Rec TD 0.2 0.0
Rush Yds 0.0 12.8
Rush TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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