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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Tyrone Tracy Jr.?

The verdict

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Tracy.

Tracy already played: 8.7 PPR pts (projected 4.3).

Week 6: Tracy outscored Ferguson 18.5 to 3.3. Our call, start Ferguson (69%), was wrong.

Ferguson 55% 45% Tracy

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
TE Cowboys TE #27 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (PPR) 5.1
Status Active
RB Giants RB #42

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (PPR) 4.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 5.4 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 23rd most to TEs.
  • Tracy: 8.0 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 22% of snaps, 5.3 touches, HOU allows the 12th most to RBs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 3.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 4.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 4.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 9.3 69% 3
Tracy Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ HOU 8.7 15% 7
Wk 6 vs NO 18.5 38% 8
Wk 5 @ WAS 5.1 19% 5
Wk 4 vs ARI -0.1 18% 1

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Tracy
Median PPR pts 5.1 4.3
Rec 2.8 1.1
Rec Yds 22.3 7.8
Rec TD 0.2 0.1
Rush Yds 0.0 17.1
Rush TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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