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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Tyrone Tracy Jr.?

Close call

Start Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Ferguson.

Tracy already played: 7.7 Standard pts (projected 3.0).

Week 6: Tracy outscored Ferguson 16.5 to 1.3. Our call, start Ferguson (60%), was wrong.

Ferguson 47% 53% Tracy

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Tracy has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Cowboys TE #28

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 2.1
Status Active
RB Giants RB #40 Start

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 3.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 2.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to TEs.
  • Tracy: 6.8 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 22% of snaps, 5.3 touches, HOU allows the 15th most to RBs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 1.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 1.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 1.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 6.3 69% 3
Tracy Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ HOU 7.7 15% 7
Wk 6 vs NO 16.5 38% 8
Wk 5 @ WAS 3.1 19% 5
Wk 4 vs ARI -0.1 18% 1

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Tracy
Median Standard pts 2.1 3.0
Rec 2.8 1.1
Rec Yds 22.3 7.8
Rec TD 0.2 0.1
Rush Yds 0.0 17.1
Rush TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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