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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Jordan Watkins or Kaelon Black?

Final · Week 7

Black outscored Watkins

Our call was start Watkins (52%): wrong by 3.3 Half PPR pts.

Watkins 7.1 Projected 2.6
Black 10.4 Projected 2.6

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

WR 49ers WR #71 Start

Jordan Watkins

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 2.6
Status Active
RB 49ers RB #49

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 2.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Watkins: 2.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 57% of snaps, 1.0 touches, ATL allows the 12th most to WRs.
  • Black: 4.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 28% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 7th most to RBs.
Watkins Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 7.1 76% 3
Wk 6 vs WAS 2.7 76% 1
Wk 5 @ SEA 0.0 37% –
Wk 4 vs DEN 0.0 38% –
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 10.4 47% 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 4.2 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Watkins Black
Median Half PPR pts 2.6 2.6
Rec 1.4 0.4
Rec Yds 23.9 3.1
Rec TD 0.1 0.0
Rush Yds 1.5 21.4
Rush TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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