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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Jordan Watkins or Kaelon Black?

Final · Week 7

Black outscored Watkins

Our call was start Watkins (54%): wrong by 2.3 PPR pts.

Watkins 8.6 Projected 3.3
Black 10.9 Projected 2.7

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

WR 49ers WR #74 Start

Jordan Watkins

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (PPR) 3.3
Status Active
RB 49ers RB #50

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (PPR) 2.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Watkins: 3.0 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 57% of snaps, 1.0 touches, ATL allows the 11th most to WRs.
  • Black: 4.6 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 28% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 5th most to RBs.
Watkins Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 8.6 76% 3
Wk 6 vs WAS 3.2 76% 1
Wk 5 @ SEA 0.0 37% –
Wk 4 vs DEN 0.0 38% –
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 10.9 47% 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 4.7 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Watkins Black
Median PPR pts 3.3 2.7
Rec 1.4 0.4
Rec Yds 23.9 3.1
Rec TD 0.1 0.0
Rush Yds 1.5 21.4
Rush TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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