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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Justin Jefferson or Luther Burden III?

Final · Week 7

Burden outscored Jefferson

Our call was start Jefferson (52%): wrong by 15.3 Half PPR pts.

Jefferson 6.4 Projected 9.5
Burden 21.7 Projected 8.8

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

WR Vikings WR #21 Start

Justin Jefferson

vs Indianapolis Colts · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Half PPR) 9.5
Status Active
WR Bears WR #24

Luther Burden III

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Half PPR) 8.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Jefferson: 8.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 74% of snaps, 4.0 touches, IND allows the 24th most to WRs.
  • Burden: 12.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 58% of snaps, 6.5 touches, NE allows the 14th most to WRs.
Jefferson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs IND 6.4 93% 4
Wk 5 @ NO 15.8 89% 7
Wk 3 @ TB 4.2 12% 2
Wk 2 @ CHI 7.0 100% 3
Burden Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 21.7 61% 5
Wk 6 @ ATL 13.5 39% 8
Wk 5 @ GB 6.9 77% 8
Wk 4 vs NYJ 9.4 56% 5

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Jefferson Burden
Median Half PPR pts 9.5 8.8
Rec 4.5 4.4
Rec Yds 59.1 58.4
Rec TD 0.3 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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