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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Luther Burden III or Malik Nabers?

Final · Week 7

Burden outscored Nabers

Our call was start Burden (50%): right by 7.1 Half PPR pts.

Burden 21.7 Projected 8.8
Nabers 14.6 Projected 9.0

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

WR Bears WR #24 Start

Luther Burden III

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Half PPR) 8.8
Status Active
WR Giants WR #23

Malik Nabers

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Half PPR) 9.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Burden: 12.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 58% of snaps, 6.5 touches, NE allows the 14th most to WRs.
  • Nabers: 20.2 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 84% of snaps, 9.0 touches, HOU allows the 5th most to WRs.
Burden Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 21.7 61% 5
Wk 6 @ ATL 13.5 39% 8
Wk 5 @ GB 6.9 77% 8
Wk 4 vs NYJ 9.4 56% 5
Nabers Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ HOU 14.6 – 7
Wk 6 vs NO 22.5 86% 12
Wk 5 @ WAS 23.6 90% 11
Wk 4 vs ARI 20.2 76% 6

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Burden Nabers
Median Half PPR pts 8.8 9.0
Rec 4.4 5.6
Rec Yds 58.4 57.5
Rec TD 0.3 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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