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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Kaelon Black or Christian McCaffrey?

Final · Week 7

McCaffrey outscored Black

Our call was start McCaffrey (86%): right by 6.1 Standard pts.

Black 9.9 Projected 2.4
McCaffrey 16.0 Projected 14.0

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

RB 49ers RB #47

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 2.4
Status Active
RB 49ers RB #5 Start

Christian McCaffrey

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 14.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Black: 4.1 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 28% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 7th most to RBs.
  • McCaffrey: 16.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 73% of snaps, 17.5 touches, ATL allows the 7th most to RBs.
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 9.9 47% 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 3.7 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6
McCaffrey Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 16.0 52% 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 21.7 85% 25
Wk 5 @ SEA 14.3 82% 14
Wk 4 vs DEN 13.0 74% 18

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Black McCaffrey
Median Standard pts 2.4 14.0
Rush Yds 21.4 63.1
Rush TD 0.1 0.8
Rec 0.4 4.5
Rec Yds 3.1 40.9
Rec TD 0.0 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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