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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Kaelon Black or Marquise Brown?

Close call

Start Kaelon Black

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Brown.

Black already played: 10.4 Half PPR pts (projected 2.6).

Black 51% 49% Brown

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Black has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB 49ers RB #49 Start

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 2.6
Status Active
WR Eagles WR #69

Marquise Brown

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 2.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Black: 4.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 28% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 7th most to RBs.
  • Brown: 1.2 Half PPR pts/game over his last 1, 22% of snaps, 2.0 touches, DAL allows the 6th most to WRs.
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 10.4 47% 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 4.2 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6
Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 2 @ TEN 1.2 22% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Black Brown
Median Half PPR pts 2.6 2.7
Rush Yds 21.4 0.9
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 0.4 2.5
Rec Yds 3.1 29.3
Rec TD 0.0 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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