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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Kaelon Black or Marquise Brown?

The verdict

Start Kaelon Black

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Brown.

Black already played: 9.9 Standard pts (projected 2.4).

Black 55% 45% Brown

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB 49ers RB #47 Start

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 2.4
Status Active
WR Eagles WR #70

Marquise Brown

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 1.9
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Black: 4.1 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 28% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 7th most to RBs.
  • Brown: 1.2 Standard pts/game over his last 1, 22% of snaps, 2.0 touches, DAL allows the 4th most to WRs.
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 9.9 47% 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 3.7 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6
Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 2 @ TEN 1.2 22% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Black Brown
Median Standard pts 2.4 1.9
Rush Yds 21.4 1.0
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 0.4 2.5
Rec Yds 3.1 29.5
Rec TD 0.0 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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