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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Kaelon Black or Seth McGowan?

Final · Week 7

Black outscored McGowan

Our call was start Black (56%): right by 5.1 Half PPR pts.

Black 10.4 Projected 2.6
McGowan 5.3 Projected 1.4

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

RB 49ers RB #49 Start

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 2.6
Status Active
RB Colts RB #55

Seth McGowan

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Half PPR) 1.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Black: 4.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 28% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 7th most to RBs.
  • McGowan: 3.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 28% of snaps, 7.3 touches, MIN allows the 32nd most to RBs.
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 10.4 47% 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 4.2 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6
McGowan Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 5.3 33% 12
Wk 6 vs TEN 2.7 23% 4
Wk 5 @ PIT 2.4 27% 6
Wk 4 @ WAS 4.3 29% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Black McGowan
Median Half PPR pts 2.6 1.4
Rush Yds 21.4 11.6
Rush TD 0.1 0.1
Rec 0.4 0.6
Rec Yds 3.1 4.1
Rec TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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