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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Luther Burden III or Makai Lemon?

The verdict

Start Luther Burden III

Wins 61% of simulated matchups against Lemon.

Burden already played: 21.7 Half PPR pts (projected 8.8).

Week 6: Burden outscored Lemon 13.5 to 3.4. Our call, start Burden (75%), was right.

Burden 61% 39% Lemon

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
WR Bears WR #24 Start

Luther Burden III

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Half PPR) 8.8
Status Active
WR Eagles WR #34

Makai Lemon

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 6.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Burden: 12.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 58% of snaps, 6.5 touches, NE allows the 14th most to WRs.
  • Lemon: 4.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 3.5 touches, DAL allows the 6th most to WRs.
Burden Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 21.7 61% 5
Wk 6 @ ATL 13.5 39% 8
Wk 5 @ GB 6.9 77% 8
Wk 4 vs NYJ 9.4 56% 5
Lemon Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 3.4 81% 3
Wk 5 @ JAX 6.8 81% 5
Wk 4 vs LAR 4.2 74% 3
Wk 3 @ CHI 4.4 70% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Burden Lemon
Median Half PPR pts 8.8 6.8
Rec 4.4 5.0
Rec Yds 58.4 42.1
Rec TD 0.3 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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