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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Michael Penix Jr. or Patrick Mahomes?

Final · Week 7

Penix outscored Mahomes

Our call was start Penix (56%): right by 14.4 Standard pts.

Penix 20.4 Projected 15.8
Mahomes 6.0 Projected 14.4

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Falcons QB #13 Start

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 15.8
Status Active
QB Chiefs QB #18

Patrick Mahomes

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Standard) 14.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Penix: 17.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, SF allows the 22nd most to QBs.
  • Mahomes: 12.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, SEA allows the 31st most to QBs.
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 100% 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 23.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20
Mahomes Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ SEA 6.0 100% 33
Wk 6 vs LAC 10.5 100% 30
Wk 4 @ LV 17.0 100% 30
Wk 3 @ MIA 15.9 100% 24

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Penix Mahomes
Median Standard pts 15.8 14.4
Pass Yds 218.8 187.1
Pass TD 1.2 1.0
INT 0.4 0.5
Rush Yds 14.2 24.8
Rush TD 0.3 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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