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Week 7 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Michael Penix Jr. or Tua Tagovailoa?

The verdict

Start Michael Penix Jr.

Wins 90% of simulated matchups against Tagovailoa.

Penix already played: 20.4 FanDuel pts (projected 16.3).

Tagovailoa's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Penix 90% 10% Tagovailoa

Share of simulations in which each player scores more FanDuel pts. How accurate are these?

QB Falcons QB #13 Start

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (FanDuel) 16.3
Status Active
QB Falcons QB #56

Tua Tagovailoa

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (FanDuel) 0.2
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Penix: 17.7 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, SF allows the 24th most to QBs.
  • Tagovailoa: 0.4 FanDuel pts/game over his last 1, 5% of snaps, SF allows the 24th most to QBs.
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 100% 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 23.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20
Tagovailoa Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 5 vs BAL 0.4 5% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Penix Tagovailoa
Median FanDuel pts 16.3 0.2
Pass Yds 218.8 31.4
Pass TD 1.2 0.2
INT 0.4 0.1
Rush Yds 14.2 1.7
Rush TD 0.3 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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