SportCrow
Log in
Report
We read every report.

Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Michael Penix Jr. or Tua Tagovailoa?

The verdict

Start Michael Penix Jr.

Wins 90% of simulated matchups against Tagovailoa.

Penix already played: 20.4 Standard pts (projected 15.8).

Tagovailoa's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Penix 90% 10% Tagovailoa

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

QB Falcons QB #13 Start

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 15.8
Status Active
QB Falcons QB #56

Tua Tagovailoa

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 0.2
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Penix: 17.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, SF allows the 22nd most to QBs.
  • Tagovailoa: -0.6 Standard pts/game over his last 1, 5% of snaps, SF allows the 22nd most to QBs.
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 100% 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 23.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20
Tagovailoa Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 5 vs BAL -0.6 5% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Penix Tagovailoa
Median Standard pts 15.8 0.2
Pass Yds 218.8 31.4
Pass TD 1.2 0.2
INT 0.4 0.1
Rush Yds 14.2 1.7
Rush TD 0.3 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

Try Pro free for a day