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Oct 28 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Marvin Bagley III or Morez Johnson?

Close call

Start Marvin Bagley III

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Johnson.

Free tiebreaker

Bagley III has the higher ceiling

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Bagley III Johnson
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

A one-day Pro trial covers every game today. No card needed.

Share of simulations in which each player scores more FanDuel pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Bagley III or Johnson: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Nuggets F #73 Start

Marvin Bagley III

@ New Orleans Pelicans · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 13.2
F Mavericks F #75

Morez Johnson

vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Wednesday, October 28, 9:30 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 13.2

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Bagley III: 9.1 FanDuel pts/game over his last 3, 10.0 minutes, 2.7 shots, NOP allows the 9th most to forwards.
  • Johnson: 10.6 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 14.0 minutes, 5.0 shots, OKC allows the 23rd most to forwards.
Bagley III Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs GSW 12.4 11 3
Oct 24 vs NOP 9.8 9 2
Oct 22 @ OKC 5.1 10 3
Johnson Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 @ MIA 8.9 15 4
Oct 24 vs SAS 9.2 12 6
Oct 23 @ IND 13.2 16 5
Oct 21 @ HOU 11.1 13 5

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Bagley III Johnson
Median FanDuel pts 13.2 13.2
Min 12.6 16.6
PTS 6.3 7.5
REB 3.8 3.4
AST 0.9 1.4
STL 0.3 0.4
BLK 0.5 0.1
3PM 0.3 0.5
TO 0.6 1.9

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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