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Oct 28 · Points league start/sit

Start Marvin Bagley III or Morez Johnson?

The verdict

Start Marvin Bagley III

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Johnson.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Bagley III Johnson
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

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Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Bagley III or Johnson: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Nuggets F #71 Start

Marvin Bagley III

@ New Orleans Pelicans · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 13.0
F Mavericks F #77

Morez Johnson

vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Wednesday, October 28, 9:30 PM ET

Median (Points league) 12.0

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Bagley III: 8.3 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 10.0 minutes, 2.7 shots, NOP allows the 9th most to forwards.
  • Johnson: 9.0 Points league pts/game over his last 4, 14.0 minutes, 5.0 shots, OKC allows the 28th most to forwards.
Bagley III Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs GSW 13.0 11 3
Oct 24 vs NOP 10.0 9 2
Oct 22 @ OKC 2.0 10 3
Johnson Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 @ MIA 10.0 15 4
Oct 24 vs SAS 5.0 12 6
Oct 23 @ IND 11.0 16 5
Oct 21 @ HOU 10.0 13 5

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Bagley III Johnson
Median Points league pts 13.0 12.0
Min 12.6 16.6
PTS 6.3 7.5
REB 3.8 3.4
AST 0.9 1.4
STL 0.3 0.4
BLK 0.5 0.1
3PM 0.3 0.5
TO 0.6 1.9

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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