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Oct 28 · DraftKings start/sit
Start Marvin Bagley III or Morez Johnson?
Close call
Start Morez Johnson
Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Bagley III.
Free tiebreaker
Bagley III has the higher ceiling
Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.
Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each
Bagley III Johnson
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Bagley III 48% 52% Johnson
Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?
Median (DraftKings) 13.0
Status Active Nuggets injury report →
Median (DraftKings) 14.0
Status Active Mavericks injury report →
Last 4 games
Recent form
- Bagley III: 9.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 10.0 minutes, 2.7 shots, NOP allows the 9th most to forwards.
- Johnson: 11.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 14.0 minutes, 5.0 shots, OKC allows the 21st most to forwards.
| Bagley III | Opp | Pts | Min | FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | vs GSW | 11.5 | 11 | 3 |
| Oct 24 | vs NOP | 10.0 | 9 | 2 |
| Oct 22 | @ OKC | 6.3 | 10 | 3 |
| Johnson | Opp | Pts | Min | FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | @ MIA | 9.5 | 15 | 4 |
| Oct 24 | vs SAS | 10.3 | 12 | 6 |
| Oct 23 | @ IND | 14.5 | 16 | 5 |
| Oct 21 | @ HOU | 11.3 | 13 | 5 |
Oct 28
Projected stat lines
| Stat | Bagley III | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Median DraftKings pts | 13.0 | 14.0 |
| MinMinutes | 12.6 | 16.6 |
| PTSPoints | 6.3 | 7.5 |
| REBRebounds | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| ASTAssists | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| STLSteals | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| BLKBlocks | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3PM3-pointers | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| TOTurnovers | 0.6 | 1.9 |
Floor, ceiling, boom & bust