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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start A.J. Brown or George Pickens?

Close call

Start George Pickens

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Brown.

Brown already played: 7.8 PPR pts (projected 12.1).

Week 6: Pickens outscored Brown 13.3 to 5.7. Our call, start Pickens (68%), was right.

Brown 46% 54% Pickens

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pickens has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Patriots WR #19

A.J. Brown

@ Chicago Bears · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (PPR) 12.1
Status Active
WR Cowboys WR #13 Start

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (PPR) 13.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Brown: 6.4 PPR pts/game over his last 3, 70% of snaps, 3.0 touches, CHI allows the 22nd most to WRs.
  • Pickens: 16.5 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 3rd most to WRs.
Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CHI 7.8 91% 3
Wk 6 vs NYJ 5.7 76% 3
Wk 1 @ SEA 5.6 44% 3
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 13.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 28.0 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 9.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 15.2 85% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Brown Pickens
Median PPR pts 12.1 13.3
Rec 5.6 5.0
Rec Yds 73.9 74.2
Rec TD 0.4 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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