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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start A.J. Brown or George Pickens?

Close call

Start George Pickens

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Brown.

Brown already played: 6.3 Half PPR pts (projected 9.7).

Week 6: Pickens outscored Brown 10.3 to 4.2. Our call, start Pickens (68%), was right.

Brown 46% 54% Pickens

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pickens has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Patriots WR #19

A.J. Brown

@ Chicago Bears · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Half PPR) 9.7
Status Active
WR Cowboys WR #13 Start

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 10.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Brown: 4.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 3, 70% of snaps, 3.0 touches, CHI allows the 19th most to WRs.
  • Pickens: 13.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CHI 6.3 91% 3
Wk 6 vs NYJ 4.2 76% 3
Wk 1 @ SEA 4.1 44% 3
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 10.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 23.5 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 8.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 11.7 85% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Brown Pickens
Median Half PPR pts 9.7 10.7
Rec 5.6 5.0
Rec Yds 73.9 74.2
Rec TD 0.4 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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