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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start A.J. Brown or George Pickens?

The verdict

Start George Pickens

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Brown.

Brown already played: 4.8 Standard pts (projected 7.2).

Week 6: Pickens outscored Brown 7.3 to 2.7. Our call, start Pickens (67%), was right.

Brown 45% 55% Pickens

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
WR Patriots WR #17

A.J. Brown

@ Chicago Bears · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 7.2
Status Active
WR Cowboys WR #11 Start

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 8.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Brown: 3.4 Standard pts/game over his last 3, 70% of snaps, 3.0 touches, CHI allows the 18th most to WRs.
  • Pickens: 10.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CHI 4.8 91% 3
Wk 6 vs NYJ 2.7 76% 3
Wk 1 @ SEA 2.6 44% 3
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 7.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 19.0 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 7.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 8.2 85% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Brown Pickens
Median Standard pts 7.2 8.4
Rec 5.6 5.1
Rec Yds 73.9 76.0
Rec TD 0.4 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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