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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start A.J. Brown or Luther Burden III?

Final · Week 7

Burden outscored Brown

Our call was start Brown (51%): wrong by 14.9 Standard pts.

Brown 4.8 Projected 7.2
Burden 19.7 Projected 6.7

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

WR Patriots WR #17 Start

A.J. Brown

@ Chicago Bears · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 7.2
Status Active
WR Bears WR #23

Luther Burden III

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 6.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Brown: 3.4 Standard pts/game over his last 3, 70% of snaps, 3.0 touches, CHI allows the 18th most to WRs.
  • Burden: 10.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 58% of snaps, 6.5 touches, NE allows the 15th most to WRs.
Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CHI 4.8 91% 3
Wk 6 vs NYJ 2.7 76% 3
Wk 1 @ SEA 2.6 44% 3
Burden Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 19.7 61% 5
Wk 6 @ ATL 9.5 39% 8
Wk 5 @ GB 4.9 77% 8
Wk 4 vs NYJ 7.4 56% 5

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Brown Burden
Median Standard pts 7.2 6.7
Rec 5.6 4.4
Rec Yds 73.9 58.4
Rec TD 0.4 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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