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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Adonai Mitchell or Jake Ferguson?

Close call

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Mitchell.

Mitchell already played: 0.0 Standard pts (projected 2.0).

Mitchell 47% 53% Ferguson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Ferguson has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Jets WR #66

Adonai Mitchell

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Standard) 2.0
Status Active
TE Cowboys TE #28 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 2.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Mitchell: 4.1 Standard pts/game over his last 3, 75% of snaps, 3.0 touches, MIA allows the 30th most to WRs.
  • Ferguson: 2.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to TEs.
Mitchell Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs MIA 0.0 – –
Wk 2 vs GB 6.3 82% 6
Wk 1 @ TEN 6.0 69% 3
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 1.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 1.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 1.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 6.3 69% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Mitchell Ferguson
Median Standard pts 2.0 2.1
Rec 2.1 2.8
Rec Yds 28.8 22.3
Rec TD 0.1 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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