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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown or Javonte Williams?

The verdict

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown

Wins 58% of simulated matchups against Williams.

St. Brown already played: 19.7 Half PPR pts (projected 16.5).

St. Brown 58% 42% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
WR Lions WR #1 Start

Amon-Ra St. Brown

vs Green Bay Packers · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (Half PPR) 16.5
Status Active
RB Cowboys RB #11

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 13.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • St. Brown: 12.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 84% of snaps, 7.0 touches, GB allows the 11th most to WRs.
  • Williams: 17.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
St. Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs GB 19.7 78% 10
Wk 5 @ ARI 9.9 86% 6
Wk 4 @ CAR 11.5 96% 8
Wk 3 vs NYJ 9.9 74% 4
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 12.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 13.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 28.8 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 17.3 76% 21

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat St. Brown Williams
Median Half PPR pts 16.5 13.6
Rec 7.8 2.4
Rec Yds 102.3 15.5
Rec TD 0.8 0.1
Rush Yds 0.1 73.1
Rush TD 0.0 0.8

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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