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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Braelon Allen or Javonte Williams?

Close call

Start Braelon Allen

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Williams.

Allen already played: 16.4 Half PPR pts (projected 14.8).

Week 6: Williams outscored Allen 12.0 to 11.4. Our call, start Williams (59%), was right.

Allen 54% 46% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Allen has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Jets RB #6 Start

Braelon Allen

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Half PPR) 14.8
Status Active
RB Cowboys RB #11

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 13.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Allen: 13.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 89% of snaps, 20.8 touches, MIA allows the 4th most to RBs.
  • Williams: 17.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
Allen Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs MIA 16.4 – 23
Wk 6 @ NE 11.4 87% 19
Wk 5 vs CLE 18.1 86% 25
Wk 4 @ CHI 7.7 94% 16
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 12.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 13.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 28.8 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 17.3 76% 21

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Allen Williams
Median Half PPR pts 14.8 13.6
Rush Yds 82.5 73.1
Rush TD 0.5 0.8
Rec 2.2 2.4
Rec Yds 15.3 15.5
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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