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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Braelon Allen or Javonte Williams?

Close call

Start Braelon Allen

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Williams.

Allen already played: 13.4 Standard pts (projected 13.6).

Week 6: Williams outscored Allen 11.0 to 10.4. Our call, start Williams (59%), was right.

Allen 53% 47% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Allen has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Jets RB #6 Start

Braelon Allen

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Standard) 13.6
Status Active
RB Cowboys RB #11

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 12.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Allen: 12.0 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 86% of snaps, 20.8 touches, MIA allows the 3rd most to RBs.
  • Williams: 16.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
Allen Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs MIA 13.4 78% 23
Wk 6 @ NE 10.4 87% 19
Wk 5 vs CLE 17.6 86% 25
Wk 4 @ CHI 6.7 94% 16
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 11.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 12.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 26.3 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 16.3 76% 21

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Allen Williams
Median Standard pts 13.6 12.3
Rush Yds 82.5 73.1
Rush TD 0.5 0.8
Rec 2.2 2.4
Rec Yds 15.3 15.5
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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