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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Bucky Irving or Javonte Williams?

The verdict

Start Javonte Williams

Wins 60% of simulated matchups against Irving.

Irving already played: 23.5 Half PPR pts (projected 10.6).

Week 6: Williams outscored Irving 12.0 to 5.9. Our call, start Williams (62%), was right.

Irving 40% 60% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Buccaneers RB #17

Bucky Irving

@ Carolina Panthers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (Half PPR) 10.6
Status Active
RB Cowboys RB #11 Start

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 13.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Irving: 16.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 64% of snaps, 21.3 touches, CAR allows the 2nd most to RBs.
  • Williams: 17.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
Irving Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CAR 23.5 59% 25
Wk 6 vs PIT 5.9 85% 21
Wk 5 @ DAL 30.5 54% 23
Wk 4 vs GB 6.1 59% 16
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 12.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 13.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 28.8 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 17.3 76% 21

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Irving Williams
Median Half PPR pts 10.6 13.6
Rush Yds 60.8 73.1
Rush TD 0.3 0.8
Rec 2.3 2.4
Rec Yds 15.1 15.5
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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