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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Christian Kirk or Jake Ferguson?

Close call

Start Christian Kirk

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Ferguson.

Kirk already played: 0.0 Half PPR pts (projected 4.0).

Kirk 51% 49% Ferguson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Kirk has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR 49ers WR #52 Start

Christian Kirk

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 4.0
Status Q Calf Official designation · Fri · 74% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 10m ago
TE Cowboys TE #27

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 3.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Kirk: 0.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 1, 30% of snaps, 0.0 touches, ATL allows the 12th most to WRs.
  • Ferguson: 4.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 22nd most to TEs.
Kirk Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 0.0 30% –
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 2.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 3.4 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 2.6 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 7.8 69% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Kirk Ferguson
Median Half PPR pts 4.0 3.6
Rec 3.3 2.8
Rec Yds 45.3 22.3
Rec TD 0.3 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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