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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Christian Kirk or Jake Ferguson?

Close call

Start Christian Kirk

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Ferguson.

Kirk already played: 0.0 Standard pts (projected 2.8).

Kirk 53% 47% Ferguson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Kirk has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR 49ers WR #51 Start

Christian Kirk

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 2.8
Status Q Calf Official designation · Fri · 74% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 19m ago
TE Cowboys TE #28

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 2.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Kirk: 0.0 Standard pts/game over his last 1, 30% of snaps, 0.0 touches, ATL allows the 17th most to WRs.
  • Ferguson: 2.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to TEs.
Kirk Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 0.0 30% –
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 1.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 1.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 1.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 6.3 69% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Kirk Ferguson
Median Standard pts 2.8 2.1
Rec 3.3 2.8
Rec Yds 45.3 22.3
Rec TD 0.3 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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