SportCrow
Log in
Report
We read every report.

Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Dameon Pierce or Luther Burden III?

The verdict

Start Luther Burden III

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Pierce.

Burden already played: 26.7 DraftKings pts (projected 11.0).

Week 6: Burden outscored Pierce 17.5 to 15.0. Our call, start Burden (68%), was right.

Pierce 43% 57% Burden

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Eagles RB #27

Dameon Pierce

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 7.8
Status Active
WR Bears WR #25 Start

Luther Burden III

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (DraftKings) 11.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pierce: 9.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 86% of snaps, 14.5 touches, DAL allows the 10th most to RBs.
  • Burden: 16.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 58% of snaps, 6.5 touches, NE allows the 13th most to WRs.
Pierce Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 15.0 95% 16
Wk 5 @ JAX 3.2 77% 13
Burden Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 26.7 61% 5
Wk 6 @ ATL 17.5 39% 8
Wk 5 @ GB 8.9 77% 8
Wk 4 vs NYJ 11.4 56% 5

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pierce Burden
Median DraftKings pts 7.8 11.0
Rush Yds 38.3 4.0
Rush TD 0.3 0.0
Rec 1.5 4.4
Rec Yds 8.9 58.4
Rec TD 0.0 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

Unlock for today’s games, free