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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Dameon Pierce or Luther Burden III?

Close call

Start Dameon Pierce

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Burden.

Burden already played: 19.7 Standard pts (projected 6.7).

Week 6: Pierce outscored Burden 11.0 to 9.5. Our call, start Burden (61%), was wrong.

Pierce 52% 48% Burden

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pierce has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Eagles RB #26 Start

Dameon Pierce

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 5.9
Status Active
WR Bears WR #23

Luther Burden III

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 6.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pierce: 6.1 Standard pts/game over his last 2, 86% of snaps, 14.5 touches, DAL allows the 9th most to RBs.
  • Burden: 10.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 58% of snaps, 6.5 touches, NE allows the 15th most to WRs.
Pierce Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 11.0 95% 16
Wk 5 @ JAX 1.2 77% 13
Burden Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 19.7 61% 5
Wk 6 @ ATL 9.5 39% 8
Wk 5 @ GB 4.9 77% 8
Wk 4 vs NYJ 7.4 56% 5

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pierce Burden
Median Standard pts 5.9 6.7
Rush Yds 38.3 4.0
Rush TD 0.3 0.0
Rec 1.5 4.4
Rec Yds 8.9 58.4
Rec TD 0.0 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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