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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Dameon Pierce or Luther Burden III?

Close call

Start Luther Burden III

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Pierce.

Burden already played: 21.7 Half PPR pts (projected 8.8).

Week 6: Burden outscored Pierce 13.5 to 13.0. Our call, start Burden (65%), was right.

Pierce 47% 53% Burden

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pierce has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Eagles RB #26

Dameon Pierce

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 6.8
Status Active
WR Bears WR #24 Start

Luther Burden III

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Half PPR) 8.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pierce: 7.6 Half PPR pts/game over his last 2, 86% of snaps, 14.5 touches, DAL allows the 9th most to RBs.
  • Burden: 12.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 58% of snaps, 6.5 touches, NE allows the 14th most to WRs.
Pierce Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 13.0 95% 16
Wk 5 @ JAX 2.2 77% 13
Burden Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 21.7 61% 5
Wk 6 @ ATL 13.5 39% 8
Wk 5 @ GB 6.9 77% 8
Wk 4 vs NYJ 9.4 56% 5

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pierce Burden
Median Half PPR pts 6.8 8.8
Rush Yds 38.3 4.0
Rush TD 0.3 0.0
Rec 1.5 4.4
Rec Yds 8.9 58.4
Rec TD 0.0 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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