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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start George Pickens or Isaiah Likely?

Close call

Start George Pickens

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Likely.

Likely already played: 2.2 Half PPR pts (projected 10.0).

Week 6: Likely outscored Pickens 20.9 to 10.3. Our call, start Pickens (51%), was wrong.

Pickens 52% 48% Likely

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pickens has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Cowboys WR #13 Start

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 10.7
Status Active
TE Giants TE #6

Isaiah Likely

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Half PPR) 10.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pickens: 13.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • Likely: 15.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 81% of snaps, 6.5 touches, HOU allows the 28th most to TEs.
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 10.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 23.5 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 8.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 11.7 85% 7
Likely Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ HOU 2.2 86% 2
Wk 6 vs NO 20.9 91% 6
Wk 5 @ WAS 26.9 80% 11
Wk 4 vs ARI 10.1 66% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pickens Likely
Median Half PPR pts 10.7 10.0
Rec 5.0 6.1
Rec Yds 74.2 56.1
Rec TD 0.3 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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