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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start George Pickens or Isaiah Likely?

The verdict

Start George Pickens

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Likely.

Likely already played: 1.2 Standard pts (projected 6.8).

Week 6: Likely outscored Pickens 17.9 to 7.3. Our call, start Pickens (53%), was wrong.

Pickens 55% 45% Likely

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
WR Cowboys WR #13 Start

George Pickens

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 8.2
Status Active
TE Giants TE #6

Isaiah Likely

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 6.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pickens: 10.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • Likely: 11.8 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 81% of snaps, 6.5 touches, HOU allows the 28th most to TEs.
Pickens Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 7.3 88% 6
Wk 5 vs TB 19.0 88% 9
Wk 4 @ HOU 7.5 86% 2
Wk 3 vs BAL 8.2 85% 7
Likely Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ HOU 1.2 86% 2
Wk 6 vs NO 17.9 91% 6
Wk 5 @ WAS 21.4 80% 11
Wk 4 vs ARI 6.6 66% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pickens Likely
Median Standard pts 8.2 6.8
Rec 5.0 6.1
Rec Yds 74.2 56.1
Rec TD 0.3 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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