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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start J.K. Dobbins or Luther Burden III?

Final · Week 7

Burden outscored Dobbins

Our call was start Dobbins (57%): wrong by 11.4 Standard pts.

Dobbins 8.3 Projected 8.3
Burden 19.7 Projected 6.7

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

RB Broncos RB #19 Start

J.K. Dobbins

@ Arizona Cardinals · Final · DEN 30–16 ARI

Median (Standard) 8.3
Status Active
WR Bears WR #23

Luther Burden III

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 6.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Dobbins: 9.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 40% of snaps, 14.8 touches, ARI allows the 10th most to RBs.
  • Burden: 10.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 58% of snaps, 6.5 touches, NE allows the 15th most to WRs.
Dobbins Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ARI 8.3 23% 6
Wk 6 vs SEA 10.6 52% 20
Wk 5 @ LAC 13.4 52% 20
Wk 4 @ SF 5.2 32% 13
Burden Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 19.7 61% 5
Wk 6 @ ATL 9.5 39% 8
Wk 5 @ GB 4.9 77% 8
Wk 4 vs NYJ 7.4 56% 5

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Dobbins Burden
Median Standard pts 8.3 6.7
Rush Yds 52.6 4.0
Rush TD 0.4 0.0
Rec 1.6 4.4
Rec Yds 9.8 58.4
Rec TD 0.0 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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