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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or John Metchie III?

The verdict

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 56% of simulated matchups against Metchie.

Metchie already played: 4.0 DraftKings pts (projected 4.1).

Week 6: Metchie outscored Ferguson 4.4 to 3.3. Our call, start Ferguson (56%), was wrong.

Ferguson 56% 44% Metchie

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
TE Cowboys TE #27 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 5.1
Status Active
Median (DraftKings) 4.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 5.7 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 23rd most to TEs.
  • Metchie: 6.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 43% of snaps, 2.3 touches, TB allows the 20th most to WRs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 3.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 4.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 4.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 10.3 69% 3
Metchie Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs TB 4.0 46% 2
Wk 6 @ PHI 4.4 34% 2
Wk 4 vs DET 6.7 37% 3
Wk 3 @ CLE 9.9 56% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Metchie
Median DraftKings pts 5.1 4.1
Rec 2.8 2.2
Rec Yds 22.3 22.8
Rec TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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