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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or John Metchie III?

Close call

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Metchie.

Metchie already played: 3.0 Half PPR pts (projected 3.0).

Week 6: Metchie outscored Ferguson 3.4 to 2.3. Our call, start Ferguson (55%), was wrong.

Ferguson 54% 46% Metchie

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Ferguson has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Cowboys TE #27 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 3.6
Status Active
Median (Half PPR) 3.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 4.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 22nd most to TEs.
  • Metchie: 5.1 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 43% of snaps, 2.3 touches, TB allows the 22nd most to WRs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 2.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 3.4 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 2.6 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 7.8 69% 3
Metchie Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs TB 3.0 46% 2
Wk 6 @ PHI 3.4 34% 2
Wk 4 vs DET 5.2 37% 3
Wk 3 @ CLE 8.9 56% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Metchie
Median Half PPR pts 3.6 3.0
Rec 2.8 2.2
Rec Yds 22.3 22.8
Rec TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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