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Week 7 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or John Metchie III?

Close call

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Metchie.

Metchie already played: 3.0 FanDuel pts (projected 3.0).

Week 6: Metchie outscored Ferguson 3.4 to 2.3. Our call, start Ferguson (55%), was wrong.

Ferguson 54% 46% Metchie

Share of simulations in which each player scores more FanDuel pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Ferguson has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Cowboys TE #27 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 3.6
Status Active
Median (FanDuel) 3.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 4.0 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 22nd most to TEs.
  • Metchie: 5.1 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 43% of snaps, 2.3 touches, TB allows the 22nd most to WRs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 2.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 3.4 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 2.6 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 7.8 69% 3
Metchie Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs TB 3.0 46% 2
Wk 6 @ PHI 3.4 34% 2
Wk 4 vs DET 5.2 37% 3
Wk 3 @ CLE 8.9 56% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Metchie
Median FanDuel pts 3.6 3.0
Rec 2.8 2.2
Rec Yds 22.3 22.8
Rec TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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