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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Kendrick Bourne?

Close call

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Bourne.

Bourne already played: 0.9 Standard pts (projected 2.4).

Week 6: Bourne outscored Ferguson 4.7 to 1.3. Our call, start Bourne (51%), was right.

Ferguson 51% 49% Bourne

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Ferguson has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Cowboys TE #28 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 2.1
Status Active
WR Cardinals WR #58

Kendrick Bourne

vs Denver Broncos · Final · DEN 30–16 ARI

Median (Standard) 2.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 2.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to TEs.
  • Bourne: 3.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 56% of snaps, 3.3 touches, DEN allows the 27th most to WRs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 1.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 1.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 1.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 6.3 69% 3
Bourne Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs DEN 0.9 56% 3
Wk 6 @ LAR 4.7 57% 5
Wk 5 vs DET 7.0 49% 5
Wk 4 @ NYG 0.0 64% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Bourne
Median Standard pts 2.1 2.4
Rec 2.8 2.6
Rec Yds 22.3 28.4
Rec TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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