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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Marvin Harrison Jr.?

The verdict

Start Marvin Harrison Jr.

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Ferguson.

Harrison already played: 6.6 Standard pts (projected 3.1).

Week 6: Harrison outscored Ferguson 3.4 to 1.3. Our call, start Harrison (58%), was right.

Ferguson 43% 57% Harrison

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
TE Cowboys TE #28

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 2.1
Status Active
WR Texans WR #48 Start

Marvin Harrison Jr.

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 3.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 2.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to TEs.
  • Harrison: 5.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 46% of snaps, 2.0 touches, NYG allows the 14th most to WRs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 1.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 1.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 1.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 6.3 69% 3
Harrison Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NYG 6.6 21% 1
Wk 6 @ JAX 3.4 19% 3
Wk 4 @ NYG 7.2 65% 1
Wk 3 @ SF 4.0 77% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Harrison
Median Standard pts 2.1 3.1
Rec 2.8 2.2
Rec Yds 22.3 33.7
Rec TD 0.2 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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