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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Mason Taylor?

The verdict

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 58% of simulated matchups against Taylor.

Taylor already played: 20.2 Standard pts (projected 1.5).

Week 6: Taylor outscored Ferguson 3.3 to 1.3. Our call, start Ferguson (62%), was wrong.

Ferguson 58% 42% Taylor

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
TE Cowboys TE #28 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 2.1
Status Active
TE Jets TE #31

Mason Taylor

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Standard) 1.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 2.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to TEs.
  • Taylor: 6.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 56% of snaps, 3.0 touches, MIA allows the 3rd most to TEs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 1.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 1.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 1.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 6.3 69% 3
Taylor Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs MIA 20.2 63% 5
Wk 6 @ NE 3.3 55% 4
Wk 5 vs CLE 2.4 59% 3
Wk 2 vs GB 0.0 46% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Taylor
Median Standard pts 2.1 1.5
Rec 2.8 2.0
Rec Yds 22.3 17.7
Rec TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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