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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Mike Gesicki?

The verdict

Start Mike Gesicki

Wins 59% of simulated matchups against Ferguson.

Gesicki already played: 6.6 Standard pts (projected 3.3).

Ferguson 41% 59% Gesicki

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
TE Cowboys TE #28

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 2.1
Status Active
TE Bengals TE #18 Start

Mike Gesicki

@ Baltimore Ravens · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Standard) 3.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 2.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to TEs.
  • Gesicki: 8.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 49% of snaps, 2.0 touches, BAL allows the 16th most to TEs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 1.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 1.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 1.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 6.3 69% 3
Gesicki Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ BAL 6.6 38% 1
Wk 5 @ MIA 6.4 45% 1
Wk 4 vs JAX 10.0 62% 3
Wk 3 @ PIT 9.7 51% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Gesicki
Median Standard pts 2.1 3.3
Rec 2.8 2.6
Rec Yds 22.3 31.8
Rec TD 0.2 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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