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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Javonte Williams or Jonathan Taylor?

The verdict

Start Javonte Williams

Wins 56% of simulated matchups against Taylor.

Taylor already played: 18.0 Half PPR pts (projected 11.6).

Week 6: Taylor outscored Williams 20.1 to 12.0. Our call, start Williams (51%), was wrong.

Williams 56% 44% Taylor

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Cowboys RB #11 Start

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 13.6
Status Active
RB Colts RB #16

Jonathan Taylor

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Half PPR) 11.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Williams: 17.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
  • Taylor: 17.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 72% of snaps, 20.5 touches, MIN allows the 32nd most to RBs.
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 12.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 13.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 28.8 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 17.3 76% 21
Taylor Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 18.0 67% 20
Wk 6 vs TEN 20.1 78% 23
Wk 5 @ PIT 9.7 73% 18
Wk 4 @ WAS 22.2 71% 21

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Williams Taylor
Median Half PPR pts 13.6 11.6
Rush Yds 73.1 56.4
Rush TD 0.8 0.6
Rec 2.4 2.6
Rec Yds 15.5 17.6
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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