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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Javonte Williams or Jonathan Taylor?

The verdict

Start Javonte Williams

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Taylor.

Taylor already played: 17.0 Standard pts (projected 10.1).

Week 6: Taylor outscored Williams 19.1 to 11.0. Our call, start Williams (51%), was wrong.

Williams 57% 43% Taylor

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Cowboys RB #11 Start

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 12.3
Status Active
RB Colts RB #16

Jonathan Taylor

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Standard) 10.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Williams: 16.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
  • Taylor: 16.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 72% of snaps, 20.5 touches, MIN allows the 30th most to RBs.
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 11.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 12.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 26.3 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 16.3 76% 21
Taylor Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 17.0 67% 20
Wk 6 vs TEN 19.1 78% 23
Wk 5 @ PIT 8.2 73% 18
Wk 4 @ WAS 21.7 71% 21

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Williams Taylor
Median Standard pts 12.3 10.1
Rush Yds 73.1 56.4
Rush TD 0.8 0.6
Rec 2.4 2.6
Rec Yds 15.5 17.6
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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