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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Javonte Williams or Trey McBride?

The verdict

Start Javonte Williams

Wins 68% of simulated matchups against McBride.

McBride already played: 17.1 Standard pts (projected 7.3).

Week 6: Williams outscored McBride 11.0 to 5.3. Our call, start Williams (67%), was right.

Williams 68% 32% McBride

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Cowboys RB #11 Start

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 12.3
Status Active
TE Cardinals TE #5

Trey McBride

vs Denver Broncos · Final · DEN 30–16 ARI

Median (Standard) 7.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Williams: 16.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
  • McBride: 9.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 94% of snaps, 8.3 touches, DEN allows the 9th most to TEs.
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 11.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 12.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 26.3 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 16.3 76% 21
McBride Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs DEN 17.1 93% 10
Wk 6 @ LAR 5.3 97% 7
Wk 5 vs DET 12.6 90% 9
Wk 4 @ NYG 3.1 97% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Williams McBride
Median Standard pts 12.3 7.3
Rush Yds 73.1 0.0
Rush TD 0.8 0.0
Rec 2.4 7.7
Rec Yds 15.5 64.8
Rec TD 0.1 0.5

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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