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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Kyle Pitts or Ryan Flournoy?

Close call

Start Ryan Flournoy

Wins 50% of simulated matchups against Pitts.

Pitts already played: 8.2 Standard pts (projected 4.1).

Week 6: Pitts outscored Flournoy 18.0 to 10.0. Our call, start Flournoy (52%), was wrong.

Pitts 50% 50% Flournoy

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pitts has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Falcons TE #11

Kyle Pitts

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 4.1
Status Active
WR Cowboys WR #38 Start

Ryan Flournoy

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 4.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pitts: 10.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 63% of snaps, 4.5 touches, SF allows the 26th most to TEs.
  • Flournoy: 6.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 74% of snaps, 4.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
Pitts Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs SF 8.2 56% 5
Wk 6 vs CHI 18.0 78% 5
Wk 5 vs BAL 10.2 67% 5
Wk 4 @ NO 4.7 51% 3
Flournoy Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 10.0 87% 7
Wk 5 vs TB 9.0 68% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 3.7 74% 4
Wk 3 vs BAL 2.2 66% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pitts Flournoy
Median Standard pts 4.1 4.3
Rec 3.3 3.6
Rec Yds 36.8 40.4
Rec TD 0.3 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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