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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Aaron Jones or Javonte Williams?

Close call

Start Javonte Williams

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Jones.

Jones already played: 2.6 Standard pts (projected 11.5).

Jones 47% 53% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Williams has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Vikings RB #14

Aaron Jones

vs Indianapolis Colts · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Standard) 11.5
Status Active
RB Cowboys RB #11 Start

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 12.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Jones: 10.1 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 80% of snaps, 20.8 touches, IND allows the 12th most to RBs.
  • Williams: 16.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
Jones Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs IND 2.6 – 9
Wk 5 @ NO 15.7 87% 28
Wk 4 vs MIA 12.8 73% 24
Wk 3 @ TB 9.2 80% 22
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 11.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 12.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 26.3 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 16.3 76% 21

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Jones Williams
Median Standard pts 11.5 12.3
Rush Yds 68.8 73.1
Rush TD 0.4 0.8
Rec 2.9 2.4
Rec Yds 21.1 15.5
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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