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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Javonte Williams or Zay Flowers?

The verdict

Start Javonte Williams

Wins 60% of simulated matchups against Flowers.

Flowers already played: 19.7 Standard pts (projected 9.4).

Week 6: Williams outscored Flowers 11.0 to 6.7. Our call, start Williams (65%), was right.

Williams 60% 40% Flowers

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Cowboys RB #11 Start

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 12.3
Status Active
WR Ravens WR #5

Zay Flowers

vs Cincinnati Bengals · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Standard) 9.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Williams: 16.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
  • Flowers: 12.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 81% of snaps, 8.0 touches, CIN allows the 16th most to WRs.
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 11.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 12.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 26.3 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 16.3 76% 21
Flowers Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs CIN 19.7 – 8
Wk 6 @ CLE 6.7 88% 7
Wk 5 @ ATL 6.6 82% 9
Wk 4 vs TEN 17.8 73% 8

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Williams Flowers
Median Standard pts 12.3 9.4
Rush Yds 73.1 3.6
Rush TD 0.8 0.0
Rec 2.4 6.2
Rec Yds 15.5 85.7
Rec TD 0.1 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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